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,FILE PHOTO: Semiconductor chips are seen on a circuit board of a computer in this illustration picture taken February 25, 2022. REUTERS/Florence Lo/Illustration

HONG KONG: The Biden administration’s trade restrictions on China are wreaking havoc with the chip-equipment industry, but a pair of company forecasts shows that the pain won’t be spread evenly.

ASML Holding NV, a Dutch maker of semiconductor manufacturing gear, reassured investors with its latest outlook, saying it sees “fairly limited” impact from the export controls.

As a European company, ASML expects to be spared from the brunt of the restrictions, which are aimed at keeping cutting-edge US technology out of China and away from the country’s military.

Later in the day, Lam Research Corp gave a less upbeat assessment. Revenue from China, which accounts for about 30% of the US company’s sales, will be US$2bil (RM9.45bil) to US$2.5bil (RM11.82bil) lower in 2023, Lam said.

The chip-equipment maker is expected to generate more than US$18bil (RM85bil) for the year, suggesting its China sales could be nearly cut in half. Lam has to halt supplying gear and services to some customers in the country, marring its otherwise-positive performance.

Sales in the current quarter will be about US$5.1bil (RM24bil), but that number would have been “decently higher” without the new restrictions, chief financial officer Doug Bettinger said.

ASML’s remarks helped send its shares up more than 8%, marking their biggest one-day gain of 2022. Lam, meanwhile, slipped 1.2% in late trading following its report.

Washington unveiled the sweeping regulations earlier this month, aiming to curb the sale of advanced semiconductors and equipment to China and ban Americans from helping with the country’s development of chip technologies.

The move sent shockwaves through the US$550bil (RM2.6 trillion) industry, and companies are still evaluating the impact. Already, US businesses such as Lam, Applied Materials Inc and KLA Corp have stopped employees from working with China’s top memory chipmaker.

The Biden administration is pushing for allies to collaborate on export controls, which could spread the impact further.

ASML, based in Veldhoven, Netherlands, has told its workers in the United States to refrain from servicing customers in China.

The company expects the total indirect impact from US measures to be roughly 5% of its backlog, chief executive officer Peter Wennink said.

While ASML still cannot ship its most advanced machines to China, chief financial officer (CFO) Roger Dassen said that the company can continue to offer less sophisticated tools to Chinese customers.

“The fact that we are a European company with limited US technology in it of course creates this situation where a direct impact on us is fairly limited,” he said in a video that the company released with its earnings. He added that ASML will comply with US regulations.

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